The latest polls of the Minnesota senate race show, for the most part, Coleman still in the lead, but by a smaller margin than a month ago. His lead in one poll shows him up by 7 over Franken, while still another, a Rasmussen poll, even shows Franken with a slight lead over Coleman. Note that the Rasmussen polls have shown a closer race for a little while and they are polling about 500 people, whereas the Quinnipiac/WSJ/WP.com polls have been using a larger sample of over 1,200 and had, up until late July, been showing a much wider margin of about 15 points in Coleman's favor. And, of course, there are all those other candidates (10 Independents, Libertarians, and Greens right now) who will chip away at Coleman and Franken's final tallies.
Meanwhile, showing an opposite trent, Minnesotans, by a comfortable margin, had been telling pollsters they were likely to vote for Obama, but lately Obama's lead has been a bit smaller, sometimes as little as a couple of points. Either there is no correlation between the presidential and senate races because the candidates are so different and local politics is not presidential politics . . . . or . . . Minnesotans are slowly moving to the middle, from the left and from the right, making both races a bit tighter.
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